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Maritime Risk Observatory

The world's sea lanes, watched through the dark.

Maritime incidents, chokepoint transits and AIS integrity, read from open sources.

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Bab el-Mandeb · W28 · to 12 Jul

weekly transit calls · IMF PortWatch

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Suez Canal · W28 · to 12 Jul

weekly transit calls · IMF PortWatch

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Cape of Good Hope · W28 · to 12 Jul

weekly transit calls · IMF PortWatch

This week's brief

04

17 July 2026
6 min read · RSS

The week the ceasefire died

Hormuz clears 115 weekly transits against a ~656 baseline, hull war cover trades near five points, and the Cape has stopped being a detour — it is the network now.

intelligence notehormuzwar riskreroutingRead issue no. 4

The observatory

We read the open data of the sea, so that risk is visible before it is priced. How we work

Livecurated incidents per month · 2026Incident databaseGeocoded and typed maritime incidents from public reporting, on a clustered map with filters and monthly trends.LiveBab el-MandebSuezGood HopeStrait monitorWeekly transits and speeds across eleven chokepoints, plus the Suez-versus-Cape rerouting index.Liveanomalies by zone · W29 · to 19 JulAIS integrity watchJamming clusters, impossible jumps and dark gaps, aggregated by zone.LiveWar risk zones atlasHow listed areas moved, circular by circular, over time.LiveMaritime risk lexiconOne hundred terms of shipping and marine insurance, defined precisely.